Fluid Milk and Cream — Western U.S.
In California, farm milk production has been so far strong this spring. This week, outputs are mostly steady to up. There remains a good balance between supplies and orders of milk. Class I sales are a bit higher. Manufacturing facilities are running at full schedules. Some are even running seven day shifts according to industry players. Fluid milk requests are steady in Arizona. Milk yield is higher with the spring flush. Weather conditions remain favorable for cows' welfare and improved milk productivity. Handlers are preparing for the peak of the spring flush, but do not foresee anything they haven't seen in the past. Currently, intakes into Class IV are consistent with scheduled plans. There are a few maintenance/repair workloads that are disrupting normal schedules, but all the milk is being handled as soon as possible. In New Mexico, milk production increased substantially throughout the week. Processing plant intakes are good, and they are able to absorb most of the supplies of milk. Nonetheless, holdovers were a bit up as repair and maintenance take place and slow down processing schedules a bit at some localities. Class I orders are down while Class II and III demands are trending up. Pacific Northwest milk production is increasing, but not quite as much as expected for the time of year. Class I demand is solid. Milk intakes are in good balance with processing needs and manufacturers have plenty of milk to run through their facilities. Wet weather is eliminating some of the pockets of lingering dryness and farmers expect plenty of water for spring irrigation needs. Milk production in the mountain states of Idaho, Utah and Colorado is strong. Production is slowly increasing as the weather turns to spring. Intakes are in good balance with processing needs. Some industry contacts say manufacturers taking in a few extra loads of milk and some added processing capacity have helped reduce the number of excess loads getting pushed across the region. Farmers indicate they do not have many water concerns going into the spring planting season. Western condensed skim is available to whomever wants to buy it. Intakes into Class IV are steady, but a few more loads are moving to cheese vats. Some condensed skim is moving among western states. Cream cheese production is picking up. Churns are actively being run. However, cream supplies are starting to tight up. Aside from a few processors who couldn't find the volume of cream they needed, cream loads are enough to fill most needs. However, prices are firm and increasing. Cream multipliers for all usages are 1.0600-1.2350. National Retail Report Dairy ± Fluid Milk Summary Advertised Prices at Major Retail Supermarket Outlets ending during the period of 3/29/19 to 4/4/2019 Half Gallon, All Fat Tests Weighted Average Price National This Period Last Week Last Year Organic $4.33 $4.35 $4.14 Conventional $1.55 $1.85 $2.52 Regional (Conventional) Wtd. Ave. Low High Northwest $0.99 $0.99 $0.99 Southwest $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 Regional (Organic) Wtd. Ave. Low High Northwest n.a. n.a. n.a. Southwest $3.52 $2.99 $3.98 Gallon, All Fat Tests Weighted Average Price National This Period Last Week Last Year Organic $6.99 $6.62 $6.18 Conventional $2.46 $2.88 $3.49 Regional (Conventional) Wtd. Ave. Low High Northwest n.a. n.a. n.a. Southwest $2.49 $2.49 $2.49 Regional (Organic) Wtd. Ave. Low High Northwest n.a. n.a. n.a. Southwest n.a. n.a. n.a. Western U.S., F.O.B. Cream Multiples Range - All Classes: 1.0600 - 1.2350 Information for the period April 1 - 5, 2019, issued weekly Secondary Sourced Information: Dairy Products Report - Ice Cream, Regular, Hard Released April 3, 2019, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Ice Cream, Regular (Hard) Production ± States and United States: February 2018 and 2019 Monthly Production (1000 pounds) Percent Change from Total Cream, Regular (Hard) February January February February January Region 2018 2019 2019 2018 2019 United States 55,411 53,551 51,142 -7.7 -4.5 Atlantic 12,315 12,815 11,725 -4.8 -8.5 Pennsylvania 2,032 2,697 2,127 4.7 -21.1 Central 33,140 31,749 29,750 -10.2 -6.3 Missouri 3,443 1,852 2,965 -13.9 60.1 Ohio 2,039 2,138 1,721 -15.6 -19.5 West 9,956 8,987 9,667 -2.9 7.6 California 4,762 4,390 4,346 -8.7 -1.0 Oregon 944 1,258 980 3.8 -22.1 Utah 2,390 1,478 2,294 -4.0 55.2 Ice Cream, Regular (Hard) ± Cumulative Production January - February Cumulative Production Percent Change (1000 pounds) from Report Month 2018 2019 2018 February 110,129 104,693 -4.9