Almond forecast

The 2019 almond crop is forecast at 2.2 billion pounds, slightly smaller than last year.

MODESTO, Calif. — The 2019 almond crop is now forecast at 2.2 billion pounds, down 3.5% from the 2018 crop of 2.28 billion pounds.

The California Almond Objective Measurement Report is also down 12% from the preliminary May 10 California Almond Subjective Report of 2.5 billion pounds.

Both reports are from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. The objective report is the industry’s official crop estimate and is based on data closer to harvest. It is based on actual nut counts on trees versus phone interviews with growers for the subjective forecast.

According to the objective report, the average nut set per tree is 4,667, down 17.8% from the 2018 almond crop.

The Nonpareil average nut set per tree is 4,429, down 10.1% from last year’s set. The average kernel weight for all varieties sampled was 1.54 grams, unchanged from the 2018 average weight.

“While the industry experienced less than ideal weather conditions this spring, California remains the best place in the world to grow almonds,” said Holly A. King, Kern County almond farmer and chair of the Almond Board of California board of directors.

California produces 82% of the world’s almonds.

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